Tomato-derived lycopene shows modest real effects: lower upper blood pressure, more flexible arteries where already impaired, a small rise in protective cholesterol, and more sun tolerated before reddening. Isolated synthetic pigment fails. Population data favour lower cancer and death rates but remain unconfirmed. Harms are mostly cosmetic or digestive. Food has more support than capsules. (Full Review)
| Marker | Target | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Serum lycopene | 0.6–1.2 µmol/L (roughly 32–64 µg/dL) | Confirms absorption and adherence |
| Blood pressure, seated and averaged | Below 120/80 mmHg | The most responsive endpoint |
| HDL cholesterol | Above 60 mg/dL (1.55 mmol/L) | Lipid fraction most consistently moved |
| Triglycerides | Below 80 mg/dL | No change in pooled trials; a rise points to diet or alcohol |
| Fasting glucose and HbA1c | Glucose 75–86 mg/dL; HbA1c 4.8–5.4% | Glucose signal is largest in impaired control |
| hs-CRP | Below 0.5 mg/L | Tracks the proposed inflammatory pathway |
| ALT | 10–26 U/L in men, 8–22 U/L in women | Liver strain and the fatty-liver association |
| PSA, men from age 45 | Below 1.0 ng/mL at 40–49 and 1.5 ng/mL at 50–59; year-on-year rise under 0.35 ng/mL | Not reliably lowered, so a rise is not attributable to the supplement |
| Skin carotenoid score by reflection spectroscopy | No established target; change from the individual's own baseline | Non-invasive adherence check between blood draws |
Cadence: 4 weeks for absorption and tolerance; 12 weeks for blood pressure, lipids and glucose; then every 6–12 months on a stable dose, with PSA at 6–12 months and annually thereafter in men